XLK · 30.5%XLF · 13.4%XLV · 11.2%XLY · 10.8%XLC · 9.1%XLI · 8.4%XLP · 6.0%XLE · 3.8%XLU · 2.6%XLRE · 2.2%XLB · 2.0% ETFSetups

The rules do the hard part for you.

The hardest part of trading is doing the right thing while money is moving. We take that out of your hands. Here's how the system works. We keep the exact parameters private, and we explain why at the end.

Everything sits on the daily regime.

Before any signal fires, we classify each market's daily state. It runs from confirmed bearish to confirmed bullish, with two states in between. We only go long after the trend has actually turned. A one-day bounce doesn't count.

A real turn takes weeks. You'll see a long downtrend, then a stretch where price steadies, then a confirmed bullish session. That confirmation is what everything else keys off. Members watch it live on the Sectors map for all eleven sectors.

Being green for weeks doesn't make a sector a buy. You enter when the trend turns, or on the first dip back after that.

etfsetups.com/heatmap/
Daily regime across all 11 S&P 500 sectors

Most signals never reach you.

Three setups fire on top of the regime. The Trend Reversal gets you in as a name turns up and starts advancing. The First Pullback takes the first measured dip back to the baseline after that turn. Both run the same conviction screens before you ever see them. The Oversold Bounce is rarer and runs on ETFs only, for the handful of times a market falls far enough below its own baseline to be worth fading. Here's what those screens look for.

Long-term trend

The name has to be in a genuine uptrend already. No bottom-fishing in falling stocks.

Regime depth

The weakness before the turn has to be deep enough to count as a real reversal.

Entry quality

The entry bar has to open cleanly. If the move already ran away overnight, we pass.

Pullback character

A pullback has to stay controlled. If price breaks down through the baseline, we skip it.

Roughly one in three candidates fails at least one screen and gets dropped. Throwing those out is most of the work. What's left is a short list you can read in one sitting.

etfsetups.com/signals/
A live signal that cleared every conviction screen
A signal that cleared every screen, with its plan and its 60-session regime.

You never have to decide when to get out.

Managing an open position is where most plans fall apart, so we made it mechanical. Every Trend Reversal and First Pullback exits on the same four steps, and they're all set before you enter.

1
Your stop starts 2 ATR below entry. It scales with volatility, so a quiet name gets a tight leash and a jumpy one gets room. You're risking the same dollars either way.
2
The stop moves to break-even once the trade proves itself. On an ETF that happens at 1 ATR of profit. Individual stocks arm at 2 ATR, because they move around more. After that, the trade can't turn into a loser.
3
Then the stop trails 1 ATR under the running high. The full position stays on for as long as the trend runs, and we don't book it in pieces. That's how the big winners happen.
4
A regime flip closes the trade. If the daily regime turns red against your position, you're out on that day's close. Nothing is held past 60 trading days either.

The Oversold Bounce works differently, and we say so up front. It has a fixed target 2 ATR above entry, a wider 4 ATR stop, no trail, and a 40-day clock. You're fading a stretched move here, so the trade takes its money and gets out instead of riding.

etfsetups.com/setup/MSFT/
Entry, stop, break-even arm and trailing stop on one chart
Every level is set before you enter: the entry, the 2-ATR stop, the break-even arm and the trailing stop.

Everything happens after the close.

Signals fire on the daily close. You place your limit orders the next morning and step away. There's nothing to watch and no fast decisions to make under pressure. If price breaks a stop during the session, nobody panics. The exit gets handled at the next close, on schedule.

It's built for someone with a job and a life. You don't need six monitors to run it.

A day in the system
  • Evening New signals post after the close. You read them quickly.
  • Next open You place limit orders at the levels already set.
  • All day The rules manage every open position. You work.
  • Close Glance at the portfolio. Done.

We tested it the honest way.

Every rule had to earn its place. We built each one on an earlier window of data, then tested it on a later window it had never seen. A rule stayed only if it improved both. Most of what we tried didn't survive that, which is the point of testing it this way.

We keep the exact settings private.

You get the output: the signals, the live levels and every closed trade. You don't get the exact thresholds inside the screens or the math behind the exit rule. An edge that's published everywhere stops working, and keeping it private protects the people paying for it. You can still check the results down to the last trade.

See it run on real money.

There are 724 closed trades on the public record: the winners, the losers and the losing months. Have a look before you decide.

Developers: get API access to our signals