XLK · 30.5%XLF · 13.4%XLV · 11.2%XLY · 10.8%XLC · 9.1%XLI · 8.4%XLP · 6.0%XLE · 3.8%XLU · 2.6%XLRE · 2.2%XLB · 2.0% ETFSetups

Track Record

Every signal the system has traded live, wins and losses alike. Showing Aggressive · stocks: 143 trades closed, 56.60% winners, average outcome +0.33% per trade. The full record is public, losses and red months included. Before going live we backtested the same rules over 416 trades (61.80% winners, +2.37% per trade). Those are in the ledger too, and every row says which it is.
Portfolio
60.50%
Win rate · every closed trade
95% confidence: 56.4%–64.5% on 559 trades
Total trades559
Winners338
Losers221
Avg per trade+1.85%
Best trade+47.26%
Worst trade-10.51%
Trend Reversal WR61.00% (n=372)
Pullback WR59.40% (n=187)
Oversold Bounce WR0.00% (n=0, too few to judge)
How the counting works. The numbers above treat every signal the same, whether or not a portfolio slot was free to take it, which is exactly how the backtest era was counted. The board we've actually held since going live has closed 54 trades on its own: 50.00% winners, averaging -0.04% per trade.
Monthly Performance [ 19 months ] Click through to the ledger for any month.
+47.2%
at 5% per position · about +29.8% a year

What a 5%-per-position portfolio earned across 472 trades, held at most 20 at a time. 188 further signals fired with the portfolio already full and were passed over.

Mar 2025
-12.94% summed
-4.31% avg / trade
1W / 2L · 33.30% · 3 trades
Apr 2025
-44.75% summed
-4.97% avg / trade
0W / 9L · 0.00% · 9 trades
May 2025
+204.13% summed
+7.85% avg / trade
23W / 3L · 88.50% · 26 trades
Jun 2025
+111.15% summed
+2.78% avg / trade
24W / 16L · 60.00% · 40 trades
Jul 2025
+59.48% summed
+2.83% avg / trade
15W / 6L · 71.40% · 21 trades
Aug 2025
+33.24% summed
+1.66% avg / trade
14W / 6L · 70.00% · 20 trades
Sep 2025
+197.06% summed
+5.33% avg / trade
28W / 9L · 75.70% · 37 trades
Oct 2025
+36.15% summed
+0.79% avg / trade
24W / 22L · 52.20% · 46 trades
Nov 2025
-25.23% summed
-1.40% avg / trade
6W / 12L · 33.30% · 18 trades
Dec 2025
+31.72% summed
+1.09% avg / trade
16W / 13L · 55.20% · 29 trades
Jan 2026
+46.22% summed
+0.96% avg / trade
30W / 18L · 62.50% · 48 trades
Feb 2026
+109.39% summed
+3.91% avg / trade
24W / 4L · 85.70% · 28 trades
Mar 2026
-7.25% summed
-0.56% avg / trade
7W / 6L · 53.80% · 13 trades
Apr 2026
+99.64% summed
+2.69% avg / trade
22W / 15L · 59.50% · 37 trades
May 2026
+189.26% summed
+3.57% avg / trade
30W / 23L · 56.60% · 53 trades
Jun 2026
+3.56% summed
+0.12% avg / trade
18W / 12L · 60.00% · 30 trades
Jul 2026
-24.93% summed
-0.47% avg / trade
33W / 20L · 62.30% · 53 trades
Aug 2026
+47.99% summed
+1.50% avg / trade
18W / 14L · 56.30% · 32 trades
Sep 2026
-22.36% summed
-1.40% avg / trade
5W / 11L · 31.30% · 16 trades
month to date

Avg / trade is the typical outcome of one trade that month. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Closed Trade Ledger [ 559 trades ]
The full per-trade ledger is for members.

You're seeing the complete aggregate record above: win rate, every month, the highs and the red. The live ledger with entries, exits, and active signals stays inside the membership so the working signals don't leak. It's the same data, trade by trade.

Developers: get API access to our signals