Track Record
Model signals tracked since launch, including wins and losses.
Showing Stock Signals (research):
173 trades closed,
49.10% winners,
average -0.43% per trade.
The full record is public, losing months included.
Before going live we tested the same rules on past data over
414 trades
(62.10% winners,
+2.40% per trade).
Those are listed too, and every row says which kind it is.
58.30%
Win rate · every closed trade
95% confidence: 54.3%–62.3%
on 587 trades
Total trades587
Winners342
Losers245
Avg per trade+1.56%
Best trade+47.26%
Worst trade-16.13%
Trend Reversal WR59.00% (n=398)
Pullback WR56.60% (n=189)
Oversold Bounce WR0.00% (n=0, too few to judge)
How we count. Signals marked never filled are excluded. The record includes model portfolio trades and other eligible signals. These are model results, not brokerage returns; actual fills, slippage and fees may differ.
Monthly Performance
(20)
Mar 2025
-12.94% summed
-4.31% avg / trade
1W / 2L
· 33.30% · 3 trades
Apr 2025
-37.19% summed
-5.31% avg / trade
0W / 7L
· 0.00% · 7 trades
May 2025
+204.13% summed
+7.85% avg / trade
23W / 3L
· 88.50% · 26 trades
Jun 2025
+111.15% summed
+2.78% avg / trade
24W / 16L
· 60.00% · 40 trades
Jul 2025
+59.48% summed
+2.83% avg / trade
15W / 6L
· 71.40% · 21 trades
Aug 2025
+33.24% summed
+1.66% avg / trade
14W / 6L
· 70.00% · 20 trades
Sep 2025
+197.06% summed
+5.33% avg / trade
28W / 9L
· 75.70% · 37 trades
Oct 2025
+36.15% summed
+0.79% avg / trade
24W / 22L
· 52.20% · 46 trades
Nov 2025
-25.23% summed
-1.40% avg / trade
6W / 12L
· 33.30% · 18 trades
Dec 2025
+31.72% summed
+1.09% avg / trade
16W / 13L
· 55.20% · 29 trades
Jan 2026
+46.22% summed
+0.96% avg / trade
30W / 18L
· 62.50% · 48 trades
Feb 2026
+109.39% summed
+3.91% avg / trade
24W / 4L
· 85.70% · 28 trades
Mar 2026
-7.25% summed
-0.56% avg / trade
7W / 6L
· 53.80% · 13 trades
Apr 2026
+99.64% summed
+2.69% avg / trade
22W / 15L
· 59.50% · 37 trades
May 2026
+176.14% summed
+3.45% avg / trade
28W / 23L
· 54.90% · 51 trades
Jun 2026
-1.41% summed
-0.05% avg / trade
17W / 12L
· 58.60% · 29 trades
Jul 2026
-62.16% summed
-1.22% avg / trade
28W / 23L
· 54.90% · 51 trades
Aug 2026
+24.06% summed
+0.78% avg / trade
17W / 14L
· 54.80% · 31 trades
Sep 2026
-13.05% summed
-0.48% avg / trade
8W / 19L
· 29.60% · 27 trades
Oct 2026
-50.96% summed
-2.04% avg / trade
10W / 15L
· 40.00% · 25 trades
month to date
Avg / trade is what one trade made or lost that month, on average.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Closed Trades
(587)
MU
First Pullback
+18.2%
CRDO
First Pullback
+16.8%
GE
Trend Reversal
+7.2%
XOM
Trend Reversal
−5.9%
NUE
First Pullback
+4.8%
CAT
First Pullback
+5.5%
The full per-trade ledger is for members.
The full record is above: win rate, every month, the good and the bad. The trade-by-trade list with entries, exits and open positions is for members, so live signals stay private.