Track Record
Model signals tracked since launch, including wins and losses.
Showing ETF Portfolio:
92 trades closed,
71.70% winners,
average +0.48% per trade.
The full record is public, losing months included.
Before going live we tested the same rules on past data over
85 trades
(84.70% winners,
+1.76% per trade).
Those are listed too, and every row says which kind it is.
78.00%
Win rate · every closed trade
95% confidence: 71.9%–84.1%
on 177 trades
Total trades177
Winners138
Losers39
Avg per trade+1.09%
Best trade+17.38%
Worst trade-5.42%
Trend Reversal WR76.50% (n=115)
Pullback WR78.20% (n=55)
Oversold Bounce WR100.00% (n=7, too few to judge)
How we count. Signals marked never filled are excluded. The record includes model portfolio trades and other eligible signals. These are model results, not brokerage returns; actual fills, slippage and fees may differ.
Monthly Performance
(26)
Sep 2024
+18.54% summed
+6.18% avg / trade
2W / 1L
· 66.70% · 3 trades
Oct 2024
-3.85% summed
-3.85% avg / trade
0W / 1L
· 0.00% · 1 trades
Nov 2024
no trades closed
Dec 2024
-1.76% summed
-1.76% avg / trade
0W / 1L
· 0.00% · 1 trades
Jan 2025
no trades closed
Feb 2025
+0.37% summed
+0.04% avg / trade
7W / 3L
· 70.00% · 10 trades
Mar 2025
no trades closed
Apr 2025
-3.61% summed
-3.61% avg / trade
0W / 1L
· 0.00% · 1 trades
May 2025
+32.15% summed
+2.68% avg / trade
11W / 1L
· 91.70% · 12 trades
Jun 2025
+0.63% summed
+0.63% avg / trade
1W / 0L
· 100.00% · 1 trades
Jul 2025
no trades closed
Aug 2025
+2.68% summed
+1.34% avg / trade
2W / 0L
· 100.00% · 2 trades
Sep 2025
+10.75% summed
+1.54% avg / trade
7W / 0L
· 100.00% · 7 trades
Oct 2025
no trades closed
Nov 2025
no trades closed
Dec 2025
+2.75% summed
+1.38% avg / trade
2W / 0L
· 100.00% · 2 trades
Jan 2026
+28.13% summed
+3.13% avg / trade
9W / 0L
· 100.00% · 9 trades
Feb 2026
+23.26% summed
+5.82% avg / trade
4W / 0L
· 100.00% · 4 trades
Mar 2026
no trades closed
Apr 2026
-13.15% summed
-2.63% avg / trade
2W / 3L
· 40.00% · 5 trades
May 2026
+45.10% summed
+1.50% avg / trade
25W / 5L
· 83.30% · 30 trades
Jun 2026
+19.49% summed
+1.39% avg / trade
12W / 2L
· 85.70% · 14 trades
Jul 2026
+23.69% summed
+1.32% avg / trade
17W / 1L
· 94.40% · 18 trades
Aug 2026
+17.42% summed
+0.70% avg / trade
19W / 6L
· 76.00% · 25 trades
Sep 2026
-6.73% summed
-0.25% avg / trade
16W / 11L
· 59.30% · 27 trades
Oct 2026
-2.23% summed
-0.45% avg / trade
2W / 3L
· 40.00% · 5 trades
month to date
Avg / trade is what one trade made or lost that month, on average.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Closed Trades
(177)
MU
First Pullback
+18.2%
CRDO
First Pullback
+16.8%
GE
Trend Reversal
+7.2%
XOM
Trend Reversal
−5.9%
NUE
First Pullback
+4.8%
CAT
First Pullback
+5.5%
The full per-trade ledger is for members.
The full record is above: win rate, every month, the good and the bad. The trade-by-trade list with entries, exits and open positions is for members, so live signals stay private.